Saturday, June 2, 2012

POWER OF TRENDLINES


TRENDLINE


WHAT IS TRENDLINE?

A trend line may be rising,falling or horizontal (flat) trend line.These three types of trend lines represent three trends namely,up trend,down trend and side ways. with the violation of trend lines, we may see a reversal in trend.

EXAMPLES OF TRENDLINES






IMPORTANCE OF TRENDLINES

       A trendline is a straight line that connects two or more price points and then extends into the future to act as a line of support or resistance.

A trendline helps identify the trend as well as potential areas of support and resistance. 

       Trend lines are an important tool in technical analysis for both trend identification and confirmation.

       Trend lines also offer a simple and widely used technical analysis approach for timing entries exits when trading.

       You should always remember that the more number of times the price touches a trend line.the more significant and valid that trend line becomes.

       The steeper a trend line angles,the less reliable it becomes .

       The length of the trend line is another important factor in its reliability ,Longer the length of a trendline,the more reliable it is.

       An up sloping and down sloping trend line along with rising volumes confirms the reliability of the trend line.

       Trend line provides reference for placing stop loss. A stop loss should be placed atleast 3% below or above the trend line after the occurrence of the break out or break down.


UPTREND LINE



       An up trendline   has a positive slope and is formed by connecting two or more low price points.The second low must be higher than the first one for the line to have a positive slope. Up trend line act as a support for the price and indicate the that the power of the bulls is increasing.

       So long as the price remains above the trend line, the uptrend is considered as solid and intact.

       The price below the uptrend line indicates that the bulls are growing weaker and a change in trend could be imminent.




DOWN TREND LINE







       A down trend line has a negative slope and is formed by connecting two or more high price points.The second high must be lower than the first one for the line.

       Down trendline act as a resistance to the price from moving higher.

       As long as prices remain below the down trend line,the down trend will remain solid and intact.

VALIDATION OF TREND LINE

Trend line takes two or more price points to draw a trend line.The number of points used to draw a trend line, the greater is the validity attached to the support  or resistance level it represents.

The general rule in technical analysis is that it takes two ponts to draw a trendline and a third point confirms its validity.



TREND CHANNELS






You can create a trend channel by drawing two parallel straight lines adjacent to the trend line,one of them joining the price highs and the other joining the price lows.

HOW TO TRADE IN TREND CHANNELS

       In up trend channel, a sell order may be placed below the upper line and stoploss order below the lower trend line.
       In down trend line channel, the sell order should be placed above the lower trend line and the stop loss above the upper line.

HORIZONTAL TRENDLINE



Thursday, May 31, 2012

SELL TTK PRESTIGE BELOW 2810



SELL BELOW 2810

STOP LOSS 2835

TARGET 2776 - 2730 - 2702

NIFTY FUTURE STRATEGY FOR 1/06/12

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LAST CLOSE @ 4916

RESISTANCE @ 4927 - 4938 - 4955 - 4964

SUPPORT @ 4877 - 4860 - 4827 - 4812

CLOSING BELOW 4888.... HELPS BEARS....MAY EXTENT NON STOP FALL UPTO
 4852 -4815 LEVELS.

BULLS NEED TO CLOSE ABOVE 4938 LEVEL FOR ANOTHER UPMOVE.

SBI-AXIS-ICICI-RELCAP- RELINFRA ANALYSIS FOR 1/06/12


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LAST CLOSE @ 2056

RESISTANCE @ 2093 - 2107 - 2118

SUPPORT @ 2038 - 2017 - 1986

CHART INDICATES TECHNICALLY WEAK

TRADING BELOW 2093 INDICATING WEAKNESS

EXPECT NON STOP SLIDE UPTO 2017 - 1986 LEVELS.

YESTERDAY BOLDLY WRITTEN.... IF PRICE TRADE BELOW 2082.... INDICATES NEGATIVE FOR BULLS.....CLOSING BELOW 2082 .....BEARS MAY TRY TO EXTENT THE FALL UPTO 2047 - 2017 LEVELS..SO CRUCIAL SUPPORT @ 2082


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LAST CLOSE @ 783

RESISTANCE @ 799 - 805 - 807

SUPPORT @ 781 - 768 - 762

TECHNICALLY WEAK

ULTIMATE TARGET 768

INITIATE BUY POSITION ONLY ABOVE 815.

YESTERDAY WRITTEN TRADING BELOW 817....INDICATES WEAKNESS....DON'T TAKE LONG POSITION,IF TRADE BELOW 817....CLOSING BELOW 817 INDICATES FAVOURING BEARS....LEAD SLIDE UPTO 790 LEVELS.


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LAST CLOSE : 971

RESISTANCE @ 991 - 1000 - 1012.

SUPPORT @ 962 - 951 - 944

MAIN SUPPORT @ 951 - 922

INITIATE LONG POSITION ONLY ABOVE 991

YESTERDAY TOLD TRADING AND CLOSING BELOW 990 INDICATES BEARISH.....MAY SLIDE TO 975 - 962 LEVELS.


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LAST CLOSE @ 308

RESISTANCE @ 312 - 316 - 320

SUPPORT @ 301 - 290 - 288

CLOSING BELOW 301 INDICATES TECHNICALLY WEAK.

SUPPOSE CLOSE BELOW 301... BEARS MAY TRY TO KISS 290 -282 LEVELS.



LAST CLOSE @ 449

RESISTANCE @ 460 - 465 - 472

SUPPORT @ 446 - 440 - 435

MAIN  SUPPORT @ 422

TECHNICALLY WEAK

GO LONG ONLY ABOVE 477.

ULTIMATE TARGET 433 -423

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LAST CLOSE @ 404

RESISTANCE @ 411 - 415 - 419

SUPPORT @ 399 -396 - 390

MAIN SUPPORT @ 388

TECHNICALLY WEAK












Wednesday, May 30, 2012

NIFTY FUTURE STRATEGY FOR 31/05/12




LAST CLOSE @ 4933

RESISTANCE @ 4952 - 4964 - 4988 - 5011

SUPPORT @ 4926 - 4882 - 4877 - 4865

TECHNICALLY CHART INDICATES BEARISH

PRICE TRADING BELOW 4952 SHOWS WEAKNESS.

CLOSING BELOW 4952, MAY LEAD 4894 - 4852 LEVELS...SOON


MAIN RESISTANCE @ 4952 -4988 LEVELS..

MAIN SUPPORT @ 4894

AXIS-ICICI-SBI-TATA MOTORS-TATA STEEL-ONGC ANALYSIS FOR 31/05/12




LAST CLOSE @ 2098

RESISTANCE @ 2105 - 2118 - 2128 - 2150

SUPPORT @ 202 - 2069 - 2047 - 2017

IF PRICE TRADE BELOW 2082.... INDICATES NEGATIVE FOR BULLS.....CLOSING BELOW 2082 .....BEARS MAY TRY TO EXTENT THE FALL UPTO 2047 - 2017 LEVELS..SO CRUCIAL SUPPORT @ 2082




LAST CLOSE @ 817

RESISTANCE @ 826 - 837 - 844

SUPPORT @ 813 - 805 - 796

TRADING BELOW 817....INDICATES WEAKNESS....DON'T TAKE LONG POSITION,IF TRADE BELOW 817....CLOSING BELOW 817 INDICATES FAVOURING BEARS....LEAD SLIDE UPTO 790 LEVELS.




LAST CLOSE @ 1001

RESISTANCE @ 1014 - 1017 - 1032

SUPPORT @ 996 - 991 - 983

CLOSING BELOW 990 INDICATES BEARISH.....MAY SLIDE TO 975 - 962 LEVELS.




LAST CLOSE @ 307

RESISTANCE @ 314 - 316 - 320

SUPPORT @ 305 - 301 - 295

CLOSING BELOW 305 SHOWS NEGATIVE.....LEADS TO 299 - 284 LEVELS.


LAST CLOSE @ 455

RESISTANCE @ 463 - 470 - 476

SUPPORT @ 448 - 440 - 434

CHART INDICATES TECHNICALLY BEARISH.....CLOSING BELOW 468....BEARS MAY KISS 440 - 434 LEVELS VERY SOON



LAST CLOSE @ 410

RESISTANCE @ 415 - 420 - 425

SUPPORT @ 408 - 402 - 397

CHART INDICATES TECHNICALLY WEAK.

DON'T INITIATE LONG POSITION , IF TRADE BELOW 415.

PRICE MAY SLIDE 396 -390 LEVELS VERY SOON.




LAST CLOSE @ 243

RESISTANCE @ 246 - 252 - 255 -260

SUPPORT @ 241 - 235 - 231 - 223

MAIN SUPPORT @ 231

TRADING AND CLOSING BELOW 231,MAY SLIDE TO 222 LIKELY.


LAST CLOSE @ 618

RESISTANCE @ 622 - 630 - 632

SUPPORT @ 609 - 595 - 591

LONG POSITION INITIATED ONLY ABOVE 632 PRICE LEVEL.

CURRENTLY,CHART INDICATES WEAKNESS,MAY SLIP TO 585 -580 LEVELS..





LAST CLOSE @ 252

RESISTANCE @ 259 - 262

SUPPORT @ 250 - 247 - 243

LONG POSITION INITIATED ONLY ABOVE 254.

IF PRICE TRADE CONTINUOUSLY BELOW 254 INDICATES BEARS MAY EXTENT THE FALL TO 248 - 242 LEVELS LIKELY.

MAIN SUPPORT @ 240